Groundhog Day time: What's going to unpredictable Phil estimate?

The world's most famous weather unload, Punxsutawney Phil emerged from his burrow on Saturday morning to tell the country that the weather will continue for six weeks. We will have an early spring or winter to dig in their heels until mid-March?


According to folklore, if it is cloudy when the groundhog comes out of his cave on Saturday, it will leave the burrow, which means that winter is almost over. But if it is a sunny day, Phil sees his shadow, allegedly afraid to retreat to his burrow and winter will continue for six weeks.

Current Forecast from the National Weather Service has a cloudy, snowy day, but Phil is definitely Fuzz ball, so it's hard to know exactly what he is doing.

Unfortunately, based on the analysis of weather data for the last 25 years, "there is no logical skills for Groundhog in the final year of the analysis is that" the National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, NC.

Center found that since 1988, Musk was the "right" 10 times, and the "guilty" 15 times, in other words, they have only 10 times the average temperature of the rest of the race in February is expected to be up to something. Musk anticipated.

For example, years ago, Phil predicts six weeks of winter shadow of his. But we ended up with a warm, warm February and March in U.S. history.

Since 1887 groundhog sees his shadow 100 times, 16 times and did not see it in the prediction of early spring. (No prediction for the ninth time in the history of the late 19th century are).

Although Phil is a selfish, the most famous of them all grounded. prognosticating other West Virginia French Creek Freddie, Georgia's General Beauregard Lee, OH Buckeye Chuck Carolina's WallyWally Alabama's Smith Lake Geneva and New York, Staten Island Chuck (full name: Horse. Charles G.).

Groundhog Day has its origins in the ancient festival of Kyndelsmesse midway point between winter and spring, the climate center. Superstition says that fair weather was predicted to be a half after the storm and cold in the winter that is mentioned in English said.

"If Christ be fair and bright.

Winter has another flight.

If Christ brings clouds and rain.

Winter will not come again '.